Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.021235 0.024747 0.028622 0.033211 0.038492 0.044373 0.051415
2025-11-02 0.015334 0.019707 0.024986 0.031808 0.040372 0.050745 0.064238
2025-11-09 0.011627 0.016284 0.022364 0.030840 0.042302 0.057212 0.078016
2025-11-16 0.009327 0.014097 0.020771 0.030713 0.045060 0.064906 0.094309
2025-11-23 0.007448 0.012068 0.018950 0.029837 0.046487 0.070815 0.108824
2025-11-30 0.006548 0.011285 0.018744 0.031180 0.051188 0.081845 0.131989
2025-12-07 0.005568 0.010172 0.017808 0.031182 0.053737 0.089846 0.151452
2025-12-14 0.004613 0.008909 0.016398 0.030141 0.054369 0.094791 0.166526
2025-12-21 0.003956 0.008047 0.015514 0.029820 0.056093 0.101607 0.185337
2025-12-28 0.003672 0.007825 0.015725 0.031451 0.061399 0.115037 0.216879
2026-01-04 0.003334 0.007435 0.015554 0.032325 0.065396 0.126545 0.246210
2026-01-11 0.002858 0.006674 0.014539 0.031408 0.065855 0.131618 0.264249
2026-01-18 0.002499 0.006107 0.013849 0.031076 0.067484 0.139192 0.288122
2026-01-25 0.002138 0.005471 0.012914 0.030096 0.067670 0.143996 0.307181
2026-02-01 0.001850 0.004948 0.012142 0.029347 0.068224 0.149566 0.328355
2026-02-08 0.001651 0.004606 0.011721 0.029313 0.070300 0.158450 0.357240
2026-02-15 0.001433 0.004173 0.011018 0.028519 0.070567 0.163527 0.378613
2026-02-22 0.001358 0.004104 0.011187 0.029828 0.075819 0.179929 0.426164
2026-03-01 0.001225 0.003850 0.010851 0.029843 0.078012 0.189766 0.460175
2026-03-08 0.001064 0.003481 0.010158 0.028850 0.077626 0.193692 0.481183
2026-03-15 0.000951 0.003235 0.009753 0.028545 0.078908 0.201613 0.512239
2026-03-22 0.000920 0.003235 0.010029 0.030112 0.085169 0.222021 0.574896
2026-03-29 0.000865 0.003147 0.010040 0.030951 0.089628 0.238495 0.629644